Us Politics · resolved market
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff978244225c5ae27bd68ae7f03a40bea88581f5f119fcbce5eed17ee858908b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $506,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $504,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac22…5442backed No | 7c | 16,031$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 17c | 11,977$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.97 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed Yes | 74c | 10,353$7,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 8,761$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.75 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 12c | 5,646$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.5 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 1c | 5,519$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked Yes | 79c | 5,023$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…ed6fbacked No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed Yes | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 18c | 4,859$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.62 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 6c | 4,699$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.21 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 28c | 4,572$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.17 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 65c | 4,348$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.37 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 4c | 4,100$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 10c | 3,533$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.84 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…b7e5backed No | 21c | 3,498$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…1098backed No | 21c | 3,121$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 20c | 3,073$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.05 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 13c | 3,052$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.54 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed No | 13c | 3,008$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 73c | 2,713$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.83 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 35c | 2,692$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.88 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…f059backed No | 23c | 2,516$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 23c | 2,491$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.47 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 34c | 2,282$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.89 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed No | 23c | 2,240$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…2846backed No | 10c | 2,200$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 19c | 2,105$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…1248backed No | 24c | 2,090$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 10c | 2,058$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.08 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 3c | 2,058$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 11c | 2,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.47 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…5c6dbacked No | 14c | 1,895$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,887$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.09 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked No | 15c | 1,727$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 13c | 1,700$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…8520backed No | 18c | 1,686$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 67c | 1,563$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.7 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 20c | 1,561$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.51 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…738dbacked No | 4c | 1,533$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked No | 32c | 1,501$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 1,489$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 15c | 1,461$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9a…6c7ebacked No | 14c | 1,425$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 16c | 1,421$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 77c | 1,402$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.4 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed Yes | 74c | 1,384$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 22c | 1,354$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…d1ebbacked Yes | 76c | 1,300$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff07…4865backed No | 16c | 1,224$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 14c | 1,220$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…0464backed No | 15c | 1,198$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…6ac3backed No | 22c | 1,196$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ac…90fbbacked No | 13c | 1,191$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 21c | 1,134$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 26c | 1,100$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 26c | 1,071$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 10c | 1,041$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked No | 23c | 1,030$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…ddecbacked No | 19c | 1,018$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked No | 11c | 988.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…b2eabacked No | 28c | 977.79$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…58bcbacked No | 5c | 974.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 75c | 968.01$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed No | 25c | 952.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked No | 14c | 940.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked No | 28c | 932.22$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 2c | 906.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…6ee3backed No | 19c | 903.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 11c | 873.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 14c | 871.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…bc22backed Yes | 80c | 869.39$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 21c | 830.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…5727backed No | 27c | 822.62$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…515abacked No | 32c | 810$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…cab5backed Yes | 68c | 810$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…71e7backed No | 16c | 804.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…917abacked No | 14c | 793.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 788.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 12c | 786.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…b9aebacked No | 20c | 741.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…d835backed No | 15c | 727.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 11c | 724.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 15c | 713.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 63c | 710.83$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.96 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 76c | 706.28$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…a683backed No | 20c | 705.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…0220backed Yes | 73c | 688.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…d4b6backed No | 29c | 678.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 77c | 671.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 11c | 667.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 22c | 664.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 23c | 652.58$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 79c | 649.39$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 78c | 647.89$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…169dbacked No | 20c | 641.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 45c | 620.28$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.29 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6e…23a5backed Yes | 68c | 620$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…6e5ebacked No | 32c | 620$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9799…5d84backed No | 19c | 617.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.