Us Politics · resolved market
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4312fc012e315252ece189e1b0f77dfdedf6b27e06bd2fbffb9ee8c9ff023601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,054,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,084,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,054,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Yes | 8c | 263,976$19,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,945.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…1762backed Yes | 0c | 66,598$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…4e09backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…8d00backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 3c | 30,731$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.96 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…26c9backed Yes | 5c | 22,214$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 16,692$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…b7e5backed Yes | 2c | 16,331$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 27c | 12,110$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.16 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 2c | 11,665$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.61 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 11,201$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.29 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 72c | 10,001$7,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.64 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…1b42backed Yes | 2c | 9,783$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 14c | 9,253$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.15 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,465$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 11c | 7,109$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7cf5backed No | 79c | 7,063$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 1c | 6,987$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…199fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,406$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…621bbacked No | 76c | 6,316$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…b04abacked Yes | 0c | 5,734$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 5c | 5,449$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…2af5backed No | 75c | 4,503$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1,837.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes | 1c | 4,172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed Yes | 3c | 3,432$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 3,044$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…738bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,715$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…8852backed No | 72c | 2,368$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 65c | 2,260$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.38 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 4c | 2,014$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 27c | 1,921$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.13 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 32c | 1,894$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.45 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…4c6fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,809$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,692$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 7c | 1,653$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…9f04backed Yes | 1c | 1,539$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…0b58backed Yes | 4c | 1,452$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 10c | 1,402$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 1,369$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.41 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…097cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,368$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…c66dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,301$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 27c | 1,220$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 65c | 1,075$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 77c | 970.13$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 912.88$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…4f39backed Yes | 29c | 851.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 829.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 70c | 793.23$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.9 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 788.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…a36fbacked Yes | 3c | 770.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 70c | 752.54$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.24 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…3834backed Yes | 31c | 750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 26c | 699.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…1693backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…9fd1backed Yes | 2c | 644.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Yes | 2c | 632.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 68c | 629.65$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 29c | 603.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 28c | 580.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 9c | 573$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Yes | 26c | 552.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…4e26backed Yes | 4c | 539.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…c246backed Yes | 2c | 527$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 66c | 501.79$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 20c | 456.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 32c | 449.34$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…ca64backed Yes | 30c | 434$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 7c | 401$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…d075backed Yes | 8c | 375.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed No | 74c | 351.93$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 23c | 347.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…d069backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 3c | 307$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed No | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yes | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 67c | 298.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…c5abbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…293fbacked Yes | 27c | 281.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 71c | 278.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 32c | 270.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…4827backed Yes | 38c | 264.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 253.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 74c | 244$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…6ba8backed Yes | 24c | 243.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…8b95backed No | 70c | 232$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 69c | 217.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 18c | 201$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 70c | 200.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…f1ffbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…ae00backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed No | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.