Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $140 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d9565012c56dfca5aee5020537f60492219ba9b571cdb9ce61df96283fe11f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,170,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,140,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,170,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 7c | 217,599$16,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,245.74 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 22c | 100,841$22,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,250.82 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked Yes | 77c | 67,575$51,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,780.2 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed No | 14c | 45,845$6,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,200.28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 68c | 44,574$30,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,293.96 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 16c | 33,359$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,388.72 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 19c | 31,575$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,520.74 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 29c | 30,330$8,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,883.04 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 0c | 16,877$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 14c | 11,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,460 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 22c | 10,794$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.72 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 35c | 9,399$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 7c | 9,100$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.88 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 69c | 7,304$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.37 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…fb0abacked No | 50c | 4,990$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 76c | 4,705$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.86 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed Yes | 31c | 4,273$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.2 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 74c | 4,153$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.54 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 52c | 3,508$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.33 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…05d0backed No | 69c | 3,353$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 79c | 3,283$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.57 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,793$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…8943backed Yes | 74c | 2,597$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 20c | 2,543$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.9 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 2,166$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2cf1backed No | 70c | 2,057$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.89 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes | 51c | 1,917$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.78 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 21c | 1,841$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.67 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 61c | 1,814$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.7 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…a613backed No | 75c | 1,668$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…dce7backed No | 72c | 1,526$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…2005backed No | 67c | 1,487$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…2556backed Yes | 8c | 1,411$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed No | 12c | 1,273$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.3 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…7044backed Yes | 79c | 1,157$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 1,053$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.68 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 8c | 969.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…d9ebbacked No | 77c | 900.97$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 30c | 870.15$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.17 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…3d7fbacked Yes | 78c | 493.5$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes | 3c | 486.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 8c | 412.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 4c | 407.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes | 26c | 405.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…128fbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 12c | 380$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.85 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…e29abacked Yes | 9c | 318.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes | 59c | 308$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc05b…14a8backed No | 42c | 279.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…46d1backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…3030backed Yes | 78c | 245.2$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…ef28backed Yes | 5c | 234$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes | 12c | 205.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…97fcbacked Yes | 79c | 205$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 42c | 192.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa893…f1d8backed Yes | 76c | 187$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 182.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…6a59backed Yes | 79c | 178.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502d…e405backed Yes | 78c | 173$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…6946backed Yes | 80c | 167.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…eb49backed Yes | 78c | 154.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…559bbacked Yes | 33c | 147.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 64c | 145$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…6d67backed Yes | 78c | 139.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…87f0backed Yes | 79c | 139.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…b35abacked Yes | 76c | 124.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…021abacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…bc65backed Yes | 80c | 111.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…69f5backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b90fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…3241backed Yes | 77c | 99.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e1…175bbacked Yes | 79c | 95.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5e…6e5ebacked Yes | 78c | 94.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…d7ffbacked Yes | 78c | 92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ca…bc8ebacked Yes | 78c | 88.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bd…13b6backed Yes | 77c | 86.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…4972backed Yes | 77c | 86.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1f…683cbacked Yes | 78c | 79.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aad…6aebbacked Yes | 79c | 75.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…f007backed Yes | 76c | 74.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6a…9ea0backed Yes | 80c | 73.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337f…32a9backed Yes | 75c | 66.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…4e05backed Yes | 76c | 66.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…eb99backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…fe3fbacked Yes | 76c | 65.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…4cd7backed Yes | 79c | 63.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $140 in May?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in May?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $170 in May?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.