Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $250 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a68f93d8a439be39718662cbafc35f5502c06869561d2032bf8b2e8f527a803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $697,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 5c | 139,702$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.27 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 3c | 47,431$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.75 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 6c | 41,639$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.1 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 7c | 22,549$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…a15abacked Yes | 3c | 18,931$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 5c | 18,250$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.91 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 13,499$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 3c | 13,462$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.37 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 11,494$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 10,532$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.24 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 2c | 8,207$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 2c | 7,456$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 5,102$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…e0a7backed Yes | 3c | 4,800$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 2c | 4,059$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,391$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 3c | 2,390$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 1c | 2,221$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…17e8backed Yes | 5c | 2,143$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 4c | 2,010$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 3c | 1,976$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…738dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,334$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…6c97backed Yes | 2c | 1,293$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,286$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,221$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,159$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…e482backed Yes | 3c | 1,119$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 3c | 1,055$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…473abacked Yes | 6c | 1,037$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,032$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…e58fbacked Yes | 2c | 961.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…cd2dbacked Yes | 2c | 936$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…02cabacked Yes | 5c | 851.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…3124backed Yes | 3c | 790.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…6995backed Yes | 3c | 776.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 1c | 770$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…1173backed Yes | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 4c | 689.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05b…14a8backed Yes | 5c | 680.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…df1fbacked Yes | 3c | 679.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…eb99backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…672cbacked Yes | 2c | 577.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 3c | 568.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Yes | 7c | 542.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Yes | 4c | 515$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…55b7backed Yes | 3c | 505.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…930dbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 499$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…243dbacked Yes | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 309.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 6c | 309.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…c2fbbacked Yes | 9c | 244.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84da…84f6backed Yes | 10c | 199.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $250 in May?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in May?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $170 in May?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.