Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e448f48fe625d3d6f28a024a7690fde445b6242cd61fc06143ebf53e7ef081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,195 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 11,823$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.4 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.09 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Over | 76c | 5,958$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 4,906$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.25 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 52c | 2,676$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.47 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 2,569$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.13 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Over | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 44c | 1,234$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 77c | 1,109$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 48c | 849.46$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Over | 53c | 762.98$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 48c | 613.42$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 559.15$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 468.54$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 429.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 423.63$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.63 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 48c | 294.7$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 288.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 53c | 284$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 52c | 271.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 232.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 30c | 215.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 25c | 210.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 55c | 209.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 24c | 160.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 52c | 157.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 56c | 142.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 121.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 69c | 120.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 39c | 114.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 46c | 100.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 46c | 99.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 55c | 94.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 74.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 46c | 55.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Under | 41c | 46.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…d8e3backed Under | 48c | 43.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 55c | 42.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 43c | 40.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…4a44backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 53c | 34.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 65c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 27.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 76c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Over | 74c | 25.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 25.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…8eb4backed Under | 46c | 23.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.