Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c66d14934750a8268aa57a2161a418f8ed2151467279cf5658b5818f9478a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,868 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 7,000$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.64 | 1,939 | 45.3%878 W · 1,061 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Over | 37c | 3,615$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,702$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.55 | 1,441 | 41%591 W · 850 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 31c | 1,249$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.61 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 76c | 699.88$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 54c | 670$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 35c | 590$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 69c | 550.72$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 31c | 517.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.49 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 474.39$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 31c | 417.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 396.81$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 497 | 48.7%242 W · 255 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 361.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 52c | 332$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 327.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.94 | 595 | 48.4%288 W · 307 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 48c | 309.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over | 18c | 293$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 45c | 223.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 62c | 193.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c870backed Over | 20c | 153$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…16a1backed Over | 51c | 96.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 55c | 91.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 23c | 79.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Over | 23c | 73.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 32c | 72.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 62.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 76c | 59.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 269 | 45%121 W · 148 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 58.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 56.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 277 | 48.4%134 W · 143 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 23c | 53.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 49.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 44.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 33.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 75c | 32.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.