Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102568f2104fe8b0e3ab3a65732652fd13d0db35859721120e0057ef47d375d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Lorientof Racing Club de Lens, FC Lorient
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,675 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Racing Club de Lens | 11c | 1,062$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Racing Club de Lens | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…5489backed FC Lorient | 73c | 308$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…19bbbacked Racing Club de Lens | 27c | 308$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Racing Club de Lens | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked FC Lorient | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Lorient | 80c | 103.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Racing Club de Lens | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked FC Lorient | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked FC Lorient | 68c | 73.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked FC Lorient | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed FC Lorient | 71c | 42.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed FC Lorient | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed FC Lorient | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Lorient | 67c | 28.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Lorient | 67c | 25.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FC Lorient | 66c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed FC Lorient | 71c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)this page
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.