Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba29c06d451a1c680a18b5e82bec7374db70c1bde47a3a42594adea923911604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,812 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c870backed Under | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 500.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 380.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 368.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 353$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…f8c7backed Under | 27c | 308.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f8…f5eebacked Over | 73c | 308.21$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…c7fdbacked Over | 73c | 308.21$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea91…84a6backed Under | 27c | 308.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed69…7cc9backed Over | 74c | 304.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…0b85backed Under | 26c | 304.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 76c | 168.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 122.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 77c | 99.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 21c | 50.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 22c | 48.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 21c | 47.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 23c | 44.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 77c | 15.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.