Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582927e063275b82e6fa00ced477b87ea2bba3d78cbc6a7ac54c56b8c61f6665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,845 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 76c | 1,313$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,111$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.76 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 22c | 414.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 219.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 55c | 181.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 21c | 171.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 25c | 159.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 158.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…25a5backed No | 48c | 144.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 141.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed No | 45c | 111.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 96.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 52c | 94.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 17c | 89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 66.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 54c | 48.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 39.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 44c | 28.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…6075backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.