Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb57f2224689d81cf9c7d3dcdf4494911c05a829323cc74db24a0149766923af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 46c | 2,074$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.8 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 1,846$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.74 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,533$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 1,046$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.85 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Yes | 38c | 882.15$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 39c | 653.85$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 9c | 443.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 61c | 316.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 36c | 214.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 197.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 36c | 193.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 176.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 64c | 141.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 39c | 135.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 87.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 271 | 51.7%140 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 57c | 85.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 82.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 69.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked No | 64c | 65.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 56.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 50.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 63c | 50.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 39c | 33.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed No | 62c | 28.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.