Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48dbeb30d35f4a8d34f63f556cc7eb4950743073b6dc34b23faa9fcfca5b4eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 3,090$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,033$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 945.18$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564e…f2ffbacked No | 66c | 805.78$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 613.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 591.03$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…9ecebacked No | 66c | 580.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 39c | 364.69$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 350.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 25c | 270.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 34c | 227$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 62c | 137$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 37c | 124.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 64c | 119.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 57c | 105.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 52c | 89.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 84.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 78.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 44.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 65c | 39.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 67c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 34.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9407…c132backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…e624backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986e…839ebacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…e5acbacked No | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 73c | 13.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.