Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf7754655fe0d79e51e13a683c3eb3b695b5f6fde73d2f0a2a1a58bcc3a739f

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $132,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $151,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,399 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	55c	25,232$13,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,440.52	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Under	43c	20,000$8,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,599.91	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	1c	18,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over	57c	10,707$6,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,604.08	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under	43c	9,000$3,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,869.99	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Under	44c	4,500$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under	46c	4,302$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over	56c	4,154$2,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,827.59	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under	60c	3,359$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	43c	2,978$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280.74	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Under	41c	2,500$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	2,468$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.14	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over	64c	2,358$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.08	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Over	61c	1,639$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.34	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under	41c	1,342$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.39	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	49c	1,159$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.89	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	22c	1,135$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884.62	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	40c	1,003$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.45	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	256	48%123 W · 133 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	39c	895.8$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.27	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Under	50c	750.82$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.41	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Over	57c	619.04$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.19	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	57c	618$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.74	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	57c	600$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258	232	58.2%135 W · 97 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	41c	599.59$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.83	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over	51c	575.05$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.7	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over	57c	526.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x16ec…ae94backed Over	59c	508.17$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.17	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Under	59c	507.75$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	41c	499.96$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.98	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	41c	497.39$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.41	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	42c	495.99$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.86	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under	57c	494$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.96	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over	57c	472.71$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.26	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over	59c	423.73$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.73	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over	40c	422.22$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.33	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over	63c	420.63$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.63	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	60c	416.67$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.67	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over	57c	403.51$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.51	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under	41c	399.99$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27e…29d4backed Under	66c	357.14$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.71	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	17c	351.42$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.39	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	170	48.8%83 W · 87 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over	39c	320.51$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.51	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	41c	316.74$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.86	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…c495backed Over	23c	300$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Over	58c	299.97$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.99	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Over	26c	296$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.04	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over	62c	295.7$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.37	91	57.1%52 W · 39 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	268.22$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.75	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	57c	264$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.52	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under	11c	260$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.54	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Under	79c	244.09$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.83	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over	55c	228$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Under	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.6wins	-0.28per pick	51cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Under	41c	225$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc952…3c89backed Over	59c	225$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over	65c	215.63$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.63	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	57c	214.27$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.14	232	50.9%118 W · 114 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over	57c	210.53$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.53	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	56c	200.83$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.25	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over	26c	200$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	26c	200$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	43c	199.63$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.71	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under	43c	195.49$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.06	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over	57c	180.58$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.65	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+23%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	58c	178.18$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.57	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	40c	177.78$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.11	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over	57c	176.95$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.09	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…42ebbacked Under	75c	173.33$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e13…2ac4backed Over	61c	172.39$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb9…884cbacked Over	59c	170.53$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.53	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	119	69.7%83 W · 36 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	20c	150$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.42	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Over	48c	144.16$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.34	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	43c	137.98$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.33	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2281…d7a4backed Over	36c	136.11$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	26c	134.62$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.62	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over	46c	130.43$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	40c	128.33$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.33	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over	60c	128.33$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.33	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Under	41c	127.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.28	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	42c	127.48$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.48	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over	65c	123.08$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.08	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under	74c	121.62$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under	12c	121.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	57c	121.05$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.05	321	64.5%207 W · 114 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over	58c	120.71$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.71	82	63.4%52 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	47c	119.25$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.07	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under	44c	118.3$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.05	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over	64c	115.91$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.73	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event