TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c22,309$9,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,844.274,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over59c15,000$8,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,189.614942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Under46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7603452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over59c5,387$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.722259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over54c4,896$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.249748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c2,448$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.662,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under75c1,795$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.271,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over51c1,549$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.021872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over54c1,324$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.222548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked Under43c1,260$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.9950149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over57c1,001$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.6219344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over38c986$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.323053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under42c963.39$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.5142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over56c870.85$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.181855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Over46c658.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.977241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over65c605.22$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.831566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over50c601$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.52941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over29c580$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41413824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Over56c549.16$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over48c524.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over52c519.25$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.243966.7%26 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under31c505.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.129629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Over60c500$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1991850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under59c417.63$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.38850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c416.03$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6162258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6313070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cad…58c7backed Over56c284.51$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Under38c259.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under60c244.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under44c216$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.115263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over52c213.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over46c208.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.810441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8221626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over29c195.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.486575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c188.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.211,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under55c181.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6156backed Over55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+78%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c174.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6484939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over56c173.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2111547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under41c171$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1120449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under41c160.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5820452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under48c151.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ca…e25abacked Under57c149$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over54c147.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.755735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1fc…dc1cbacked Over55c147.27$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.271464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under34c143$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2110143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under60c140.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.591,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Under46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3115034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over41c113.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.079262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over64c108.36$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0111140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Under36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Under51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over52c97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over52c96.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.255950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c95.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.153,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under54c95.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over34c94.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5423250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc57c…21b1backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over55c88.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7814850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf49c…3937backed Over55c88.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…e0a1backed Under45c88.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Over34c88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under72c87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4413249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028543.2%123 W · 162 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under42c84.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.739354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c83.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4216865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under50c80.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over62c76.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.231850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…7138backed Over34c70$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over66c66.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2911855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over25c60.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.438748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf47f…8755backed Under48c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.49850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under43c58.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.098543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Over62c57.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5522157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecd6…5f03backed Over56c53.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.952962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over52c53.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3619345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb620…6e5cbacked Over56c52.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8542558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2324052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Under75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under42c47.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.953330.3%10 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-50.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfe72…cf52backed Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under65c42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.116741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.371,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.46645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.216543%71 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa73c…4044backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over60c39.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.952352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Under43c38.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.