La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb652e51f801c4a19639e891ab8782e4227f77f0cf7027e411c05d87d1b722362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 4c | 15,684$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.53 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Over | 33c | 7,466$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 74c | 7,088$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 6,965$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.69 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 3,068$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.17 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 76c | 2,475$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 67c | 2,358$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.03 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Under | 66c | 739.3$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 700.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 37c | 549.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 25c | 423.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Under | 72c | 418.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 66c | 378$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 362.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 353.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 62c | 264.62$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 26c | 247.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 6c | 199.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 35c | 146.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 65c | 143$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 67c | 134.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 66c | 91.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 31c | 86.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 31c | 78.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 26c | 77.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 63c | 76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 60.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 41c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Under | 74c | 29.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…2a1cbacked Under | 78c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…0f5abacked Under | 69c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 66c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.