La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x436eed1e4257e785bb1d5b940cef965d9ab4d5bf611e620c5b60a13eb3b79b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 9,054$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.37 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 2,311$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.31 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,631$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.73 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 78c | 1,539$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.58 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 78c | 1,469$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…966cbacked Over | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 1,217$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 1,085$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.13 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 55c | 728$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 21c | 717$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 675.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 55c | 590$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 45c | 585$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 583.27$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.86 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 434.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.75 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 339.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 76c | 330.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 317.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 20c | 292.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 52c | 189.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Under | 20c | 182.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 23c | 124.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Over | 80c | 122.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked Over | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Over | 61c | 109.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 49c | 105.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 53c | 94.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…3296backed Over | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 78c | 77.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 20c | 73.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 72.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 21c | 71.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 56c | 71.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 54c | 66.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 77c | 53.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 23c | 51.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 77c | 42.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd9…ba01backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Over | 63c | 31.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae0…c81abacked Over | 73c | 28.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 71c | 18.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Over | 78c | 13.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e73…27a3backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.