Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39cb845e4ea7758acefdc531d17013ecaceb831a5c78a87166c2ea4839c1566c

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $143,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $145,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,328 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0792…b778backed No	49c	118,418$58,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,414.99	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	51c	25,735$13,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,124.85	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Yes	51c	19,891$10,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,144.41	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	51c	18,348$9,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,403.02	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	49c	8,716$4,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,273.1	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,159.96	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92a1…1b70backed Yes	51c	7,674$3,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,913.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	50c	6,636$3,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,324.85	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes	51c	5,868$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	47c	4,635$2,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200.74	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4897…c9b3backed Yes	53c	3,071$1,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,615	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes	51c	3,057$1,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,569.67	282	42.2%119 W · 163 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	51c	1,411$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.7	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes	51c	969.78$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.91	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes	50c	870.03$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.54	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	51c	696.17$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.57	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	78c	627.18$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.45	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec15…86abbacked Yes	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes	52c	559.62$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed Yes	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	51c	497$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.05	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	51c	478$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.78	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	29c	438.77$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.31	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes	47c	410$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.1	196	32.7%64 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes	51c	400$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes	42c	343.02$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.07	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	47c	319.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	233	50.2%117 W · 116 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes	51c	313.83$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.05	255	44.7%114 W · 141 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No	47c	266.47$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.23	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	51c	250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes	52c	240.38$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	86	26.7%23 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	47c	232.96$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.12	533	44.8%239 W · 294 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	48c	213.14$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.81	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No	58c	200.97$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.09	451	42.6%192 W · 259 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	176	34.1%60 W · 116 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes	51c	152$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.52	120	60%72 W · 48 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	43c	130.33$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.11	423	24.3%103 W · 320 L	-36.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes	48c	125$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x462a…45f0backed No	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	38cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes	51c	104$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	253	48.2%122 W · 131 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	289	50.9%147 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes	46c	100.28$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	272	27.9%76 W · 196 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	201	44.3%89 W · 112 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cd…9740backed Yes	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No	46c	92.54$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.97	351	57.8%203 W · 148 L	+18.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes	53c	90$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.7	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed Yes	51c	90$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.3	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No	46c	90$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	273	54.9%150 W · 123 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Yes	50c	88.1$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.27	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes	51c	73.9$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.52	571	50.4%288 W · 283 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Yes	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes	53c	55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	100	36%36 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes	51c	52.94$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	160	45.6%73 W · 87 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	52c	50.34$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.91	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Yes	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	296	44.6%132 W · 164 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes	52c	47.24$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	159	49.1%78 W · 81 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee92…7ec3backed Yes	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	594	45.5%270 W · 324 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	170	47.6%81 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Yes	51c	29.84$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+91.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes	51c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22c…9c02backed Yes	45c	26.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	48c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.94	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No	55c	20.39$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.18	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d3…432abacked Yes	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	78	66.7%52 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	243	49%119 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No	73c	18.7$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.05	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
Will Millwall FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?No won
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event