Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2aa86c9eac0371dd051c37d499c9803f74ac44d7c932d94eb648a8f15b2139e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 7c | 2,632$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 58c | 2,250$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 58c | 1,412$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.54 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 893.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.48 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 850.5$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.21 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 788.43$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.32 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 403.91$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 77c | 350$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 322.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 249$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 241.62$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 58c | 172.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 80c | 143.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 61c | 65.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 71c | 52.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 32.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 39c | 27.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed No | 45c | 24.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Millwall FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.