Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Torello Women: Clarissa Gai vs Mar Cabassers Morros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe85fc9d627f769aec3fed69698b375619936357708908efce2558b7f6f32d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clarissa Gaiof Clarissa Gai, Mar Cabassers Morros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Mar Cabassers Morros | 29c | 273.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mar Cabassers Morros | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Clarissa Gai | 69c | 190.64$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Clarissa Gai | 68c | 133.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Clarissa Gai | 72c | 118.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mar Cabassers Morros | 20c | 96.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Mar Cabassers Morros | 30c | 90.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mar Cabassers Morros | 24c | 81.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Clarissa Gai | 74c | 34.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Clarissa Gai | 64c | 27.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Clarissa Gai | 72c | 25.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Clarissa Gai | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.