Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruse (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1519a47cd8f9dcf141c8f59f3bd93f23a7213ea8e47d3a3ffbe4df5aba6a995f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruseof Ruse, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Ruse | 30c | 2,267$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.37 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ruse | 37c | 966.65$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.91 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…800bbacked Noskova | 71c | 762.31$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Ruse | 26c | 760.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.19 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Ruse | 40c | 480$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Noskova | 78c | 449$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ef…2394backed Noskova | 71c | 297.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…24babacked Noskova | 67c | 295.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Ruse | 38c | 246.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…8677backed Noskova | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ruse | 33c | 209.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Noskova | 62c | 198.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ruse | 40c | 195$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Noskova | 75c | 161$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Noskova | 67c | 127.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ruse | 33c | 124.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ruse | 33c | 124.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ruse | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Noskova | 69c | 87.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Noskova | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Noskova | 71c | 70.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ruse | 53c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Noskova | 63c | 65.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dac…31b8backed Noskova | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed Noskova | 70c | 58.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Noskova | 79c | 54.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…8b37backed Noskova | 71c | 54.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Noskova | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Ruse | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Noskova | 65c | 48.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Noskova | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Noskova | 69c | 43.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Noskova | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ruse | 28c | 41.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Noskova | 71c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Noskova | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Noskova | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruse (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)this page
- Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda NoskovaGabriela Ruse won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruse vs NoskovaRuse won
- Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)Ruse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.