TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb41b…95b2backed No54c97,000$52,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,380366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb0…1ba2backed Yes46c97,000$44,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,3801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed No58c43,103$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,999.992646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes42c20,322$8,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,776.2711454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes42c12,369$5,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,166.5413547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9e…bde4backed Yes42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed No54c5,501$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.161457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes45c5,228$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c4,809$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.581,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No41c3,929$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.568842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No53c3,689$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.0441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes46c2,070$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.84124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No55c2,006$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked No56c1,798$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.962853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe20…4d3ebacked Yes44c1,589$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes43c1,309$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.2221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccf…b88ebacked No57c1,206$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Yes45c1,159$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.39255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes63c1,148$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0520744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No54c1,000$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.9834643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes45c1,000$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55219735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5307652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d2…0dbfbacked No56c914.41$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb462…d158backed Yes46c913.73$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd7…1778backed Yes70c901.96$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed No55c872$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0714156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…44c4backed No55c787.48$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes46c757.96$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.34963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes45c718.18$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6830666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked No58c715.52$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4151844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes45c613.82$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.62846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1184…2391backed Yes63c609.71$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.911546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes47c600$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes51c550$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26827752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed Yes46c516.37$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+52.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed No52c451.81$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.943737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ef3…d60ebacked No50c445$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked No55c440$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes74c395.31$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bea…f420backed Yes67c384.42$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes46c362.98$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.013351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.614945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes73c329.29$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.297061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No28c322.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No57c303.18$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.815740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16211761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed No58c294.31$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.78155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes57c283.63$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4514953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes63c276.83$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7734251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No39c257.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes45c246.52$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5913857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes43c220.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.933053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9a…8963backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No8c196.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86dc…94a1backed No55c180.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.671145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No32c168.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe1…4628backed No35c163.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…28ddbacked Yes45c146.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes78c141.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6717745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43f3…1712backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab4…6170backed Yes47c112.02$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed No54c110.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.552147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x844c…f5f0backed No54c109.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd648…b2b6backed No49c107.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f8…d16ebacked Yes47c104.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2587…00c4backed Yes47c104.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes44c104$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2442048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a0…3aecbacked Yes47c103.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5526054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d13…97ccbacked Yes47c99.47$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e18…a49cbacked No55c98.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f6…20a3backed No54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e4…7268backed Yes47c96.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x968c…1e04backed Yes45c95.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b0…19f2backed Yes47c94.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e75…a01cbacked No54c93.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8502…7c3abacked Yes47c92.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d4b…1b91backed Yes47c91.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac03…5e74backed No55c91.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No53c90.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0418752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bac…f7b1backed No54c90.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd1…cfccbacked No55c90.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d92…a53bbacked Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab9…b983backed No54c88.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c52…215ebacked Yes47c88.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a2…8e7cbacked No55c88.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eaa…e48dbacked No54c88.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x860b…f6e9backed No55c87.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf9…6503backed No54c87.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d35…f346backed Yes47c87.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0b…8941backed No55c86.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f4…bc07backed Yes47c84.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832a…d408backed No54c83.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.