Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a88f73fb81801cbd6b5b6a62bef8c66db1026ecefbe59e4ff5aa2040c5213c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7180…c905backed Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…7358backed No | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e06…dd7fbacked No | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…baa1backed Yes | 28c | 9,994$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 74c | 2,352$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.97 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 75c | 1,449$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 24c | 1,292$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…7fe7backed No | 74c | 1,291$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 672.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.88 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 26c | 556.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…73c6backed Yes | 27c | 465$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737a…1699backed No | 73c | 465$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…aa59backed Yes | 27c | 367.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 28c | 362.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 28c | 337.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 72c | 323.22$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 28c | 300.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 73c | 292.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 265.71$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 16c | 247.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9944…86cdbacked Yes | 28c | 234.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 71c | 122.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…255cbacked No | 74c | 80.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…458dbacked No | 74c | 77.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 75.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 72c | 64.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 26c | 61.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e309backed Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…ed30backed No | 74c | 33.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…38eabacked No | 73c | 32.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…f258backed No | 74c | 31.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked No | 74c | 31.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…a70dbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…ce3ebacked No | 74c | 29.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbc…3620backed No | 73c | 21.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645c…db2bbacked No | 73c | 21.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…e4f0backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-14?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-04-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.