Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b0f7ad7113c3eaaf6def5b9d7a7cee4725a1f91d193144fe289e3d73e3b6191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 30c | 33,543$10,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,062.95 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 70c | 25,013$17,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.83 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 7,520$5,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 30c | 6,690$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…2e0dbacked No | 73c | 5,864$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541b…088fbacked No | 74c | 4,426$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 5c | 3,984$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked Yes | 30c | 3,388$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 27c | 3,244$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.88 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9e…bde4backed No | 70c | 3,165$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 2,670$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.8 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 70c | 2,598$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.4 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc969…ff8ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,282$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 2,135$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.45 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Yes | 30c | 1,777$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 26c | 1,529$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.48 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…f63ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…f9d9backed Yes | 30c | 982.78$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 29c | 950.54$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 29c | 859.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Yes | 5c | 840$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…795dbacked Yes | 30c | 550.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 14c | 368.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 350.67$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9944…86cdbacked Yes | 30c | 259.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 243.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 72c | 215.09$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 71c | 199.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 26c | 184.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 27c | 176.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 72c | 167$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Yes | 26c | 165.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 70c | 137.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 28c | 134.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 15c | 134.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 28c | 122$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 27c | 110.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 71c | 103.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…19ddbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…e229backed No | 73c | 87.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…9788backed No | 73c | 86.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…6b34backed No | 73c | 84.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…0240backed Yes | 29c | 69.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 29c | 52.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb346…8f4ebacked Yes | 28c | 46.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 27c | 45.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 72c | 36.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…3b4bbacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…2d95backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-04-14?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.