Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92e952c546d389e1ea51318f4d38f837bd50e8bbfbf23ccc707a3fef598af224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 1c | 3,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 2,231$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.24 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 58c | 661.67$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 645.09$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.56 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 59c | 509.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 451.4$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 59c | 326.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 62c | 305.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Yes | 65c | 302.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed No | 10c | 282.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 61c | 271.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b1…e40bbacked Yes | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 217.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 61c | 163.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Yes | 60c | 117.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 46c | 109.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5876…793fbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Yes | 67c | 90.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 44c | 71.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 51c | 71.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 36c | 70.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 64.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked No | 68c | 61.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 43c | 60.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…0ca1backed Yes | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 51.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Yes | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 35c | 42.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 54c | 36.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 37c | 35.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 47c | 32.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 40c | 30.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 60c | 28.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…7009backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Yes | 59c | 20.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.