Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafd0ac26909c37bdfe4f9491e839316f4288a14ecef95c04b0fa073a505cb5db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 71c | 3,010$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.1 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 72c | 2,803$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 36c | 2,598$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 51c | 2,431$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 1,832$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.37 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 36c | 1,654$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,188$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.59 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Under | 73c | 959.86$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 28c | 650$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 45c | 644.22$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 45c | 493$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 352.08$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 294.05$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Under | 65c | 215$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 50c | 198.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 170.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 63c | 156.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 50c | 153.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…45adbacked Under | 69c | 145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Over | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 54c | 90.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 36c | 85.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 78.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 36c | 77.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…f9e8backed Over | 24c | 71.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 77c | 69.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over | 37c | 69.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…4ac7backed Under | 79c | 68.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 50.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…a04bbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…46b8backed Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 36c | 31.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 65c | 20.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 63c | 20.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Under | 72c | 14.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.