Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd75c63fd09eff6899b34c4a248168960aa8b81bc341fa7688879c040b1bc7c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 4,391$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.04 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 52c | 3,844$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 42c | 3,664$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 41c | 3,442$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.21 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 58c | 2,739$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.24 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 2,505$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.87 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 42c | 2,175$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 42c | 2,095$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 1,664$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.8 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 62c | 1,363$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,267$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.32 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 61c | 1,252$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,119$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.64 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 79c | 775.07$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 510.91$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.06 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 45c | 485.2$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 479.44$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 332.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 51c | 298.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Over | 59c | 282.86$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 9c | 265.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 233.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 25c | 153.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 76c | 153.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 8c | 140.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 113.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 97.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 59c | 50.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4e55backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Over | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Over | 55c | 39.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 51c | 38.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 41c | 35.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 59c | 28.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 59c | 26.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 59c | 25.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 59c | 23.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Under | 50c | 22.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee1…ae99backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 59c | 19.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…e224backed Over | 61c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.