Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee vs. Florida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x213c4bd0aa0dad29482f028c3c79a48d4ce693033d5160e1f68754c0239aa169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Floridaof Tennessee, Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Tennessee | 20c | 8,800$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.03 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Florida | 71c | 8,429$5,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.09 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tennessee | 29c | 5,850$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.46 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Tennessee | 33c | 5,790$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Florida | 67c | 2,854$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida | 67c | 2,264$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.19 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Tennessee | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tennessee | 17c | 829.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Tennessee | 28c | 789.27$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tennessee | 29c | 611.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Florida | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Florida | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Tennessee | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Florida | 74c | 253.32$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tennessee | 31c | 247.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Tennessee | 34c | 206.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Florida | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Tennessee | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Tennessee | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Florida | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Florida | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Florida | 71c | 78.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Florida | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Florida | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Florida | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Tennessee | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Tennessee | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Florida | 67c | 40.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Florida | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Florida | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.