Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama vs. Florida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebe6f1b2ee1598a314022409c72f285dfdcb810487e3e0749544ab25570efd77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Floridaof Alabama, Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Alabama | 43c | 16,254$6,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,953.13 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Florida | 56c | 13,033$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.27 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida | 50c | 11,698$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,886.55 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Alabama | 46c | 10,436$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Florida | 62c | 3,036$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Alabama | 42c | 2,551$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.13 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Alabama | 45c | 2,225$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Florida | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Florida | 59c | 705.42$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.19 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Alabama | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Florida | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Florida | 53c | 427.3$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Florida | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Florida | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Florida | 59c | 105.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Florida | 58c | 103.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Alabama | 39c | 100.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…82f5backed Florida | 56c | 64.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Alabama | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Florida | 57c | 47.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Florida | 59c | 44.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Florida | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Alabama | 40c | 37.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Florida | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…67a7backed Florida | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Florida | 58c | 25.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.