TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe667…898fbacked Under0c16,004$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b6…9dbdbacked Under64c9,600$6,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,136.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over38c6,655$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,154.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c5,100$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.864,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.998853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under63c2,767$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.22,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ac…d211backed Over39c2,437$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over37c2,340$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under62c2,233$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.2612648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Over70c2,168$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.391872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under2c1,921$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.543641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5083…9cbdbacked Under64c1,549$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd997…53f2backed Over36c1,549$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+138.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,141$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.91,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over50c1,066$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.82330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Over68c1,005$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.1919344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6305735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c844.23$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4271,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over52c832$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over36c800.66$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.895151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2322357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be5…b512backed Under64c725.98$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fce…f2e3backed Over36c725.79$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over36c677.08$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2123250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Under2c669.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c663.58$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.8412650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under46c578$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3910927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Over37c538.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.11533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over52c462.21$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8619544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6156backed Over49c410.28$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.741181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+78%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under63c404$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.521450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over64c401.17$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6323255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24818152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under62c399.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over37c372.73$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.822548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under24c352.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.886950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under62c350$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21717648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd72…cc45backed Over37c329.73$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over36c326.95$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2099354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Over37c308.79$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.541145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c284.87$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.381,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed Under50c277.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…6548backed Over37c272.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under64c241.69$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c229.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.071,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Over37c202.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over50c200.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.15056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over50c200.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.048252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over67c199.79$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over36c191.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under61c179$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.191668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over57c175.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.533754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under62c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.420250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under60c163.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.455941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over37c147$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.611957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over36c138.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.922638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1415034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over59c126.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.782445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over48c123.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.99034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over62c117.59$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2216962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over36c115.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7730749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over54c115.66$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.662839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2110761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb752…aea9backed Under50c106.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.271566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under63c101$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6335148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6438729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6424052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4714850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.997749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over36c95.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under64c94.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4732145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddf…1b96backed Over49c93.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over54c89.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3822553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c83.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6716865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over68c82.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5319345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c81.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.773,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over48c75.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.037573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under63c74.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.663548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under64c66.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.692853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over41c66.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.153545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over72c66.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6617455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399b…d03bbacked Over74c63.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.210247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.218852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under40c58.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5115443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under42c55.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.055536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.059071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0512445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0516142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5424757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5b…9682backed Over37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over33c40.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.883966.7%26 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.