La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd43d6b686057db3d6367079eaddcf297f86a3f1d61189b740f1ed132798731c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 5,340$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Under | 37c | 2,192$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 2c | 1,861$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 35c | 1,070$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.39 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 65c | 846.15$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 65c | 846.15$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 36c | 634.31$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 35c | 384$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 350.2$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 184$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 65c | 169.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 36c | 164.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e3…42f1backed Over | 64c | 156.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e39…ab7fbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Over | 63c | 130.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 65c | 130$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…164ebacked Over | 65c | 72.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 64.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 62c | 63.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 64c | 62.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 64c | 44.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…9406backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…f654backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 64c | 37.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…a6dfbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…dc78backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…5c15backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…306bbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…5824backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…6030backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…1f16backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…3117backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…0f0cbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…82dcbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…5a54backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 26.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 76c | 26.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…3642backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…d70ebacked Over | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…4758backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.