TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c11,293$8,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.44,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over12c4,526$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.467719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over31c4,526$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.483640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked Over1c3,121$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under71c2,274$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.381,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c1,589$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.651,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over34c1,519$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5423250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Over45c1,397$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c1,140$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.463,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over23c999.9$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9823255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over54c803.38$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.2513045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over18c715.78$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8419344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over27c533.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1610927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under79c524$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over38c385.29$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under64c379.45$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.81,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under26c288.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Over35c286$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Over25c260$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over27c250.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.695644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over79c235.44$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over48c234.92$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.515145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over18c222.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over44c222.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.99988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over32c213.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.763545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over48c206.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under58c206.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.475455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over20c201.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.299354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over25c200.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c5…a9edbacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over33c188$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5237039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over16c180.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Over23c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over43c134.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcb73…ad38backed Under72c131.49$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over40c128.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8617541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over24c105.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8157252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6510…953bbacked Over50c92.35$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.251546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f2b…a44cbacked Over17c89.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Over17c89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.132740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over66c88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.083966.7%26 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over35c86.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.218958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011046.4%51 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over24c84.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c84.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under74c81.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1817455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Over17c77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.092065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under69c70.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.465752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over31c68.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under53c66.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.133148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under65c64.66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6515443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over47c63.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9659555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2361557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over43c62.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0711855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over42c61.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed Under74c58.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.19580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6b…1fdebacked Over35c53.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5e1…b57fbacked Over39c51.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209622.9%22 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over32c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6419258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over35c45.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9913052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over28c42.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over52c40.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0217744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Under62c30.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.813638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.53467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under79c23.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.042548%12 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.