Music · resolved market
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01b730ad821092737766fe8b09e26cd4cb09a8bddf7cb9121e56615ef5693295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 38c | 6,634$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0637…8e23backed No | 64c | 3,907$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…fec2backed No | 65c | 2,041$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 62c | 1,734$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.18 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…b427backed Yes | 46c | 1,650$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…70aabacked Yes | 63c | 1,468$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 56c | 1,259$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 25c | 1,182$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.02 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…28ebbacked Yes | 47c | 1,131$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…f58fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,063$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…7565backed Yes | 50c | 1,060$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 65c | 1,049$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.71 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 74c | 1,046$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.74 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 55c | 994.1$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.22 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 34c | 988.37$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 61c | 916.35$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 57c | 852.47$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.28 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 29c | 830$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes | 41c | 799.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 61c | 799.97$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 50c | 702.53$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba52…605bbacked Yes | 46c | 650.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 60c | 618.97$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…fcedbacked Yes | 39c | 616.42$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 57c | 598.37$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 37c | 570.68$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.53 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 63c | 568.42$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 38c | 559.31$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 37c | 539.37$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.56 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 63c | 533.63$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.48 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked No | 53c | 491.27$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…85a6backed Yes | 41c | 489.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 48c | 479.35$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 67c | 468.64$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.92 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 46c | 465.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 29cpaid | +265%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…2396backed Yes | 47c | 453.47$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 60c | 446.33$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…e36ebacked Yes | 41c | 443.49$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…bc64backed Yes | 40c | 422.88$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 30c | 401.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 64c | 400$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…832abacked No | 57c | 399.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 63c | 397.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b3…4779backed Yes | 37c | 389.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…4de4backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +169.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…2372backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 15c | 344.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 53c | 335.38$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 51c | 334.3$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 323.03$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.73 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 317.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked No | 57c | 314.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 71c | 293$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed No | 71c | 290$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…a1cebacked Yes | 64c | 275.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 28c | 271$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 31c | 269.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 56c | 265.16$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbe…24aabacked Yes | 40c | 264.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 57c | 248$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked No | 71c | 247$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…9a8abacked Yes | 57c | 237.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…d389backed No | 74c | 231.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0f2ebacked Yes | 61c | 224.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…215abacked No | 53c | 223.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…27acbacked Yes | 39c | 222.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…61e5backed Yes | 45c | 220.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…1520backed No | 46c | 217.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…7b96backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb977…ac67backed Yes | 47c | 207.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 33c | 200.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165c…d943backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 195.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…9fafbacked Yes | 50c | 194.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…4872backed Yes | 64c | 188.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…50e9backed Yes | 36c | 188.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…9370backed Yes | 52c | 187.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked No | 72c | 186$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 35c | 186$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…a655backed Yes | 38c | 182.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked No | 55c | 181.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x627d…1fb4backed Yes | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe853…19a2backed Yes | 55c | 176.22$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked No | 60c | 172.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…b496backed Yes | 29c | 170.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 41c | 169.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked No | 60c | 165.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…a662backed Yes | 37c | 160.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 61c | 159.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 57c | 156.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed Yes | 29c | 156$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed No | 71c | 156$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.