Music · resolved market
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9b096c6586655da2fcf7cc1bbe17978b9f009f0c2dc5fe2b12c5465ec7ff798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6979…c2a3backed Yes | 24c | 11,655$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,900.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +356.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 56c | 3,277$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.3 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 69c | 2,049$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 50c | 1,552$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 36c | 1,257$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.85 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…2b41backed Yes | 27c | 1,170$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +700.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…7ed5backed Yes | 43c | 1,169$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +765%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked No | 69c | 1,057$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 70c | 999.99$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 73c | 932.95$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…e9a6backed Yes | 55c | 897.59$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +685.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…6621backed Yes | 19c | 848.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 5cpaid | +1,051.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 25c | 799.63$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.95 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 35c | 640.72$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 63c | 543.15$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked Yes | 10c | 542.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…5c5cbacked No | 50c | 504.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked No | 73c | 499.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 54c | 492.84$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 77c | 445.22$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.76 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…7a98backed No | 67c | 439.21$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Yes | 63c | 341$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…8fd8backed No | 60c | 314$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 6c | 295.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…b86fbacked Yes | 43c | 282.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +573.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…832abacked No | 58c | 261.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 61c | 243.28$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…0e12backed Yes | 80c | 237.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 76c | 233.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 59c | 227.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 17c | 219.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7828…406abacked Yes | 55c | 216.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 7c | 212.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 69c | 207.56$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…21ffbacked Yes | 11c | 201.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +816.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…8613backed Yes | 28c | 199.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +554.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…4ee1backed Yes | 18c | 196.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +1,582.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc8…32dfbacked Yes | 21c | 191.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +763.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…afe7backed Yes | 33c | 163.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 8c | 161.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 31c | 160.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 42c | 159.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 27c | 149.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 65c | 137$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 71c | 136.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf49…f632backed Yes | 36c | 133.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…e73ebacked Yes | 10c | 131.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +920.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 8c | 130$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +709.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 65c | 126.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062f…aaeabacked Yes | 36c | 125.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…03aabacked No | 8c | 124.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…3381backed Yes | 70c | 122.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 20c | 121.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…58d1backed Yes | 58c | 120.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…af89backed Yes | 59c | 118.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +447.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 52c | 109.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 50c | 109.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…1c08backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…da39backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b47…aa39backed Yes | 51c | 97.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +2,629.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…4616backed Yes | 12c | 97.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +333.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Yes | 17c | 86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 64c | 84.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 47c | 83.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 30c | 83.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be1…c6aabacked Yes | 21c | 81.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +367.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f1…921fbacked Yes | 40c | 75.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed No | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed No | 70c | 71.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked No | 68c | 69.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…4d5ebacked No | 47c | 66.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 60c | 64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…38e8backed No | 49c | 61.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed No | 67c | 59.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 52c | 52.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…1dfbbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600d…b5cebacked No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 47.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 69c | 46.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 66c | 45.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 69c | 44.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…91dbbacked No | 50c | 39.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…4b06backed Yes | 41c | 36.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed No | 70c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b7…2ddcbacked Yes | 40c | 28.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…df35backed No | 48c | 27.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…6be4backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…c922backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…b63dbacked No | 67c | 19.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6491…74b2backed Yes | 70c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…04a0backed No | 66c | 15.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.