Champions League · resolved market
PSG vs. Seattle Sounders: 4+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24c6e7abd2b011863a0067b57d4dd56599b67d954beae2a26046c3a594e9c0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4167…2427backed Yes | 50c | 16,810$8,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,404.82 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 49c | 15,774$7,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,008.06 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 51c | 11,455$5,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.87 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 52c | 3,841$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.51 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 2,456$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.66 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 53c | 2,144$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.1 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 1,749$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.21 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 41c | 1,738$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.41 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 47c | 1,481$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.26 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 55c | 910.05$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 46c | 679.67$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.02 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 52c | 664.61$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 559.69$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.25 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…1fa1backed Yes | 49c | 505.89$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 45c | 499.73$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.85 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 447.93$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.69 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 48c | 443.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.55 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 24c | 437.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 51c | 368.08$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 55c | 364.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 55c | 364.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Yes | 48c | 341.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 25c | 270.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 54c | 270$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 48c | 220$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 56c | 185$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 55c | 183.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2d…ebb1backed No | 61c | 164.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 48c | 159.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…b6b1backed Yes | 54c | 146.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…41e9backed Yes | 51c | 129.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed No | 49c | 116$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf662…3e84backed No | 74c | 110.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 48c | 109.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 52c | 104.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked No | 50c | 100.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 26c | 85.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…12e7backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 42c | 75.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…7c89backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…24e3backed Yes | 42c | 66.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked No | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea8…57d7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 42c | 47.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…2efbbacked Yes | 45c | 44.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…1609backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…95aebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e309backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed Yes | 50c | 34.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed No | 68c | 33.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 54c | 27.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Yes | 51c | 26.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…9edbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.