F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcced0e1210eef04dd3d5720eba4e6c6012818b1b80c4c91ae5119b90e6d1f673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 67c | 2,608$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.5 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,509$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.75 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 68c | 1,977$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.81 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 33c | 1,490$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.76 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 33c | 1,110$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.42 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 803.76$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 67c | 794.21$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 73c | 743.22$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 31c | 647.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…6d9abacked Yes | 33c | 602.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 73c | 595.36$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.65 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 30c | 553.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9815…61f0backed Yes | 31c | 532.73$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 66c | 508$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 15c | 500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…e524backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 66c | 332.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 30c | 332.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…f91bbacked Yes | 34c | 295.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…cda9backed Yes | 34c | 293.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…2bcbbacked Yes | 25c | 284.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 15c | 262.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 65c | 222$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 72c | 212.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 211.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 73c | 202.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 31c | 160.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 74c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +671.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 33c | 119.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…0d10backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…862fbacked Yes | 25c | 79.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…1f00backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…4513backed No | 72c | 75.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…446bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 55c | 69.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 30c | 60.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…181fbacked Yes | 25c | 55.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea42…2c25backed Yes | 27c | 54.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…447ebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd77…ed22backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 70c | 42.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 62c | 41.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…7879backed Yes | 31c | 37.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…90edbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…62b3backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…4a7fbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…3d4dbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.