F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28bac6eb660d995daaa1dd5f5d4b564dd523d0b35f65f417f89db6f2d60cbaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 79c | 3,409$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.55 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 77c | 2,628$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.64 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 20c | 2,364$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.65 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 28c | 1,809$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.46 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 23c | 1,235$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.77 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 6c | 997.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 76c | 594.64$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 19c | 497.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 6c | 471.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7590backed Yes | 27c | 464.42$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 18c | 455.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 65c | 450$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 64c | 443.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 420.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 24c | 400$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 11c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 18c | 387.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 68c | 384.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 19c | 367.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…dd83backed Yes | 31c | 327.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 13c | 321.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…3b4bbacked Yes | 40c | 251.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 33c | 246.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…dea1backed Yes | 20c | 193$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…c24dbacked Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 158.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 145.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 12c | 143.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 143.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 78c | 111.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…d5dcbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked Yes | 19c | 106.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…b1c6backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5521…381abacked Yes | 32c | 92.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…03d8backed Yes | 20c | 76.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…7359backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed Yes | 22c | 71.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…7071backed Yes | 18c | 70.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd77…ed22backed Yes | 17c | 65.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 22c | 55.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862e…a60cbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…1524backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc1…7a45backed Yes | 44c | 27.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.