TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.9712055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c5,596$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,917.4998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over53c3,957$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.868051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Under50c3,263$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under48c2,587$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under47c1,581$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over33c1,434$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.529257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over55c1,086$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under47c1,059$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.791369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c983.34$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.9847850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over34c949.2$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.846373%46 W · 17 L+19.0wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c923.49$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.5828659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over32c685.2$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.884667.4%31 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+90.8%equal weight71+0.18 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c665.18$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.4843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over56c657$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c649.31$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.682065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over53c570.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.136958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.532450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over40c339.29$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7222852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1832450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under47c294.86$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.582268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c265.19$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3233444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.88326.5%22 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc505…21bebacked Over27c232.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+88.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under47c230.06$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.512240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over45c222.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.679550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over51c202.92$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.481060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over33c201.61$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.135048%24 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383318.2%6 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over34c189.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.962142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874540%18 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Over31c129.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.352931%9 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over47c128.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over43c127.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.913641.7%15 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c122$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.988048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over45c119.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.968361.4%51 W · 32 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ddf…1b96backed Over42c119.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c109.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2734937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Over34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under70c98.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.33174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+41.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under47c88.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.392653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.966126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under59c84.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.474238.1%16 W · 26 L-7.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over40c79.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9811858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over31c64.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8416865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under47c61.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.041656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over33c61.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.191172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+80%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.25257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under47c56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.324656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a56…0371backed Over54c49.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over53c47.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.151675%12 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under62c45.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-77.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick41cpaid+120.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1fa8…a519backed Under47c42.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.674843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under56c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.923458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf9…dd07backed Under48c35.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.983855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.984459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.984050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.982060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.983956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.983158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.042751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86100%6 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+399.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over56c27.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.183366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under64c24.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.562630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.283658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.283652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.283852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.283751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over44c23.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1853…68ffbacked Under46c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x966a…400ebacked Over47c21.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.