Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464b2202f074949fbeb9b516f49c515273a99958ac09888c5332da71bb6c990d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 4,198$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.41 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,065$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.02 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,025$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.96 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 52c | 1,004$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 54c | 769.68$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.2 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 50c | 747.04$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Over | 74c | 668.67$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 80c | 627.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 23c | 610.52$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 61c | 602.24$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 555.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 52c | 547.5$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 541.25$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 29c | 505.8$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 457.7$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 53c | 429.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 53c | 407$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 52c | 384.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 62c | 367.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 57c | 365.39$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 68c | 313.38$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 80c | 301.35$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…21bebacked Over | 53c | 223.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 215.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Under | 8c | 204.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 187.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 183.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 72c | 118.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 34c | 115.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 77c | 89.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 67c | 83.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Over | 77c | 74.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 42c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 16c | 63.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 75c | 63.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 32c | 61.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 79c | 57.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 28c | 55.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 48c | 53.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 52.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 52.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 50.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 33.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…9e90backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 23.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 79c | 19.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 65c | 16.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 76c | 15.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.