Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1e1008011623cb3c7e3963a802bd5a7f68b2320aa8018887a74413b5583b355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 14,354$9,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.15 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 31c | 6,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.98 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 31c | 3,033$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.42 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 34c | 2,773$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 74c | 903$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 66c | 795$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 69c | 532.44$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 523.57$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 23c | 483.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 470.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 68c | 387.26$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 67c | 340.2$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 12c | 318.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 34c | 295.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 20c | 255.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 23c | 242.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 23c | 203.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 69c | 195.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 168.56$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 69c | 165.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 31c | 155.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 21c | 98.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 69c | 61.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 70c | 52.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 30c | 45.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…2ff5backed Under | 68c | 43.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 70c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed Under | 69c | 29.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Under | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 69c | 16.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.