TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Nuclear TigeRES
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ56c25,000$14,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,939.9876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nuclear TigeRES45c22,888$10,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,200.7375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Nuclear TigeRES44c21,828$9,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,629.592458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked MOUZ56c16,683$9,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,340.3413043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Nuclear TigeRES43c14,174$6,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,094.9533043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf892…8acbbacked MOUZ57c14,082$7,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.751936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Nuclear TigeRES44c12,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,28036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Nuclear TigeRES43c10,446$4,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,491.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed MOUZ57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3009550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuclear TigeRES44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40023145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked MOUZ55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.711050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ55c7,968$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,585.477454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0478…37c3backed MOUZ56c6,431$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.479952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES45c6,298$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.925,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ55c6,000$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.1750054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed MOUZ56c5,969$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.2321545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nuclear TigeRES44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a4…ae91backed MOUZ55c5,000$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Nuclear TigeRES44c4,515$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.443745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Nuclear TigeRES43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72059839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Nuclear TigeRES45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5754242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed MOUZ55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Nuclear TigeRES43c2,651$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.0629449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed MOUZ55c2,122$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.5417643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Nuclear TigeRES47c2,106$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9998556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Nuclear TigeRES45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Nuclear TigeRES45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed MOUZ57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8606450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Nuclear TigeRES44c1,953$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.361,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Nuclear TigeRES43c1,839$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.981,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed MOUZ56c1,381$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.679951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ56c1,329$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.5935242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed MOUZ55c1,256$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.2210249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Nuclear TigeRES43c1,150$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.51,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ56c1,139$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0220946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Nuclear TigeRES45c1,136$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.3559755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a2…c1c2backed MOUZ57c1,132$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.585151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Nuclear TigeRES44c1,112$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0844747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1e…20aebacked MOUZ73c1,101$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Nuclear TigeRES45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49538052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b2c…f0d6backed MOUZ46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.945261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Nuclear TigeRES45c1,085$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.468958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked MOUZ55c1,018$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.185731.6%18 W · 39 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbba9…7800backed MOUZ55c1,014$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed MOUZ64c1,010$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6323861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed MOUZ57c1,000$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nuclear TigeRES44c999.99$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.62,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ57c999.99$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed MOUZ56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.864940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ55c888$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.61,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked MOUZ55c859.6$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.821,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed MOUZ54c835.5$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.626457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed Nuclear TigeRES58c817.37$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.799748.5%47 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nuclear TigeRES42c813.82$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.872,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed MOUZ63c799.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2962755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3f…3543backed MOUZ56c777.77$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.222853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Nuclear TigeRES46c775.72$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.3898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked MOUZ55c766.7$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.0248845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Nuclear TigeRES40c751.47$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8120440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MOUZ66c743.88$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.311,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Nuclear TigeRES44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed MOUZ60c700$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2831952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed MOUZ56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3086848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Nuclear TigeRES44c667.79$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5922750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Nuclear TigeRES44c647$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.720045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ58c633.48$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.187,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0e…b995backed MOUZ55c631$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.952272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed MOUZ56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed MOUZ58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2527844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c50…c3e2backed MOUZ56c586.59$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.59560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Nuclear TigeRES43c566.98$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.81346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Nuclear TigeRES44c531.25$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7518736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed MOUZ57c530$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.910150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Nuclear TigeRES44c509.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3952150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed Nuclear TigeRES44c507$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.081435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nuclear TigeRES45c480$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.81,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed MOUZ56c450$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1989159.3%54 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9080…f91ebacked MOUZ55c437.64$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8a…b80fbacked MOUZ51c410.7$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Nuclear TigeRES51c404.44$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.65556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked MOUZ55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18038051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES46c390$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.45,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed MOUZ57c375.44$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.449044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed MOUZ55c370$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.510061%61 W · 39 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked MOUZ55c366.67$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16527753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nuclear TigeRES45c345.32$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.392,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed Nuclear TigeRES45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7975…ecdabacked MOUZ49c307.86$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nuclear TigeRES45c300.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4399148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed MOUZ55c282$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.937453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed MOUZ54c280.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0129731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Nuclear TigeRES45c269.01$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0518645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed MOUZ56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8621263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed MOUZ56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8648350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked MOUZ57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1621362.4%133 W · 80 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Nuclear TigeRES38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Nuclear TigeRES43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b4…9f6fbacked MOUZ63c238.81$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.664067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed MOUZ54c236.77$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9113245.5%60 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.