CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b25b89ad9607918c0987996c401c8d83011bf56e31f5f0dfd1f5ec45e51dd88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0478…37c3backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,173$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.03 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,007$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.1 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 662.95$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.3 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 205$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 204.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 202.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 144.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed MOUZ | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed MOUZ | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 66.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 55.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed MOUZ | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 24.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 23.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5a…9789backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)Nuclear TigeRES won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.