CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x181ec1c2b1e88bbf2da6528b6005877f289422a92cbedd5cf528d88f7950280a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 37c | 4,738$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.01 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 64c | 3,504$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.55 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Under | 55c | 1,077$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.42 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 64c | 769$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 739.43$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.8 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 61c | 614.42$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.63 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 61c | 433.01$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.87 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 62c | 385.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 43c | 372.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 38c | 335.27$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 59c | 331.66$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 24c | 327.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 35c | 295.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Under | 69c | 290.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 38c | 289.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…7800backed Under | 62c | 276.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 40c | 244.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 19c | 185.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 36c | 160.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 63c | 116.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 63c | 107.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 321 | 58.3%187 W · 134 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 69c | 106.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 64c | 101.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 64c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 37c | 92.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 65.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…b4d3backed Over | 37c | 50.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 45.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed Over | 59c | 42.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 54c | 39.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 63c | 37.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 71c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 35c | 32.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 62c | 31.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 63c | 29.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Under | 69c | 28.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 74c | 24.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked Under | 69c | 21.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…9d23backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 56c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)Nuclear TigeRES won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.