Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b08b446f529eab641e122db427f3ee6a8993c30185775b90eebb7e587b15ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 2c | 1,822$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.73 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 51c | 1,228$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.2 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 47c | 1,007$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.55 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 694.92$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.89 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 668.38$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 65c | 541.5$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 67c | 391.33$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 378.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 68c | 372$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.96 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 35c | 232.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 49c | 148$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 47c | 96.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed No | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 50c | 71.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 49c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Yes | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Yes | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 54c | 34.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Yes | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Yes | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.