TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Karmine Corp Blue
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$424,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$446,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp Blue9c61,682$5,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.661,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Karmine Corp Blue29c43,528$12,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,623.2355955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb1e3…358ebacked Natus Vincere71c33,627$23,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,785.867647.4%36 W · 40 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Karmine Corp Blue32c28,951$9,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,201.4221448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere59c10,716$6,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.9985046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3107…63b9backed Natus Vincere68c9,900$6,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1681752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere71c8,544$6,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.6382352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere71c8,400$5,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.361,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Karmine Corp Blue49c7,750$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.771,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Karmine Corp Blue10c7,720$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.951,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Karmine Corp Blue43c7,039$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.451,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Karmine Corp Blue14c5,716$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.659745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Karmine Corp Blue4c5,648$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.86742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Natus Vincere61c5,451$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.0431644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Karmine Corp Blue30c4,800$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.2349940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere63c4,560$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.292,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere77c4,480$3,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.891,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp Blue49c4,124$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.231,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Karmine Corp Blue35c4,084$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.7631036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Natus Vincere57c3,267$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.5611454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere71c3,184$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.4370162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Karmine Corp Blue25c3,000$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.364955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere57c2,962$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.881,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd3…fefabacked Natus Vincere69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.557460.8%45 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Natus Vincere50c2,679$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.491,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Karmine Corp Blue45c2,554$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.8819839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp Blue20c2,298$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.492,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Natus Vincere50c2,293$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.3417839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere70c2,123$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.852,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Natus Vincere70c2,000$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60651160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Natus Vincere58c2,000$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.9918961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Natus Vincere59c1,980$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.6511860.2%71 W · 47 L+12.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Natus Vincere47c1,835$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.7742050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Karmine Corp Blue42c1,811$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.011,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Natus Vincere66c1,809$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.8421836.7%80 W · 138 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00df…0d23backed Natus Vincere62c1,782$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.079852%51 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd295…0fe6backed Natus Vincere67c1,720$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.861361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaddf…5340backed Karmine Corp Blue41c1,713$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7051030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Natus Vincere70c1,704$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0541644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Karmine Corp Blue33c1,663$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.886738.8%26 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4767…cd16backed Karmine Corp Blue18c1,519$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2681631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Karmine Corp Blue26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39077131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Karmine Corp Blue2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Natus Vincere74c1,471$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.432846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Karmine Corp Blue31c1,456$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.34729.8%14 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere55c1,435$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.7526360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Natus Vincere70c1,415$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5621740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…7747backed Karmine Corp Blue34c1,405$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Karmine Corp Blue38c1,346$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.5525923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere58c1,319$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.0242148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Natus Vincere73c1,243$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.533063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Karmine Corp Blue40c1,211$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7569756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp Blue33c1,202$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Karmine Corp Blue30c1,057$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.0315953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Natus Vincere57c1,054$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.243151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere78c1,034$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.941,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Karmine Corp Blue41c1,029$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.8969041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Karmine Corp Blue29c1,005$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.251,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Karmine Corp Blue30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…7adfbacked Karmine Corp Blue1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018836.7%69 W · 119 L-0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Karmine Corp Blue16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5533251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22c6…4574backed Natus Vincere63c1,000$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1321756.7%123 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Karmine Corp Blue14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Karmine Corp Blue56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56017744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Karmine Corp Blue27c999.9$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6354129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Natus Vincere70c997.03$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0328150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb3…8689backed Natus Vincere70c944.9$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.476361.9%39 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Natus Vincere67c900$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29316546.1%76 W · 89 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked Natus Vincere57c875.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0936331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Natus Vincere73c868.49$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4914761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Natus Vincere71c867.14$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.4742735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed Natus Vincere65c809.77$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.299345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Natus Vincere61c807.54$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.424436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c83…72eabacked Karmine Corp Blue1c797.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.975032%16 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere60c790.14$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.041,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Karmine Corp Blue9c710$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8416540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Karmine Corp Blue57c707.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd690…93a6backed Natus Vincere71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20310160.4%61 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Karmine Corp Blue50c680.9$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.8436943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Karmine Corp Blue28c667.05$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.771,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Karmine Corp Blue30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere68c600.03$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.221,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Karmine Corp Blue4c540$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8789810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Karmine Corp Blue26c500.17$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.517633.5%59 W · 117 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Karmine Corp Blue32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Karmine Corp Blue28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…2c0ebacked Karmine Corp Blue21c499.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055927.1%16 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Karmine Corp Blue30c496.67$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1493542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Karmine Corp Blue21c496.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5120550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked Karmine Corp Blue46c472$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7614751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Karmine Corp Blue44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere71c448.09$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0943640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Natus Vincere73c424$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9221857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed Karmine Corp Blue55c413.82$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.69047.8%43 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Karmine Corp Blue38c412$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8243947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Natus Vincere72c400.06$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0216347.2%77 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Karmine Corp Blue28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11248143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Karmine Corp Blue36c400$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6521848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Karmine Corp Blue30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022035.9%79 W · 141 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.