Lol · resolved market
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eb35ffb7c26e87f851387b8a94620120f3738a0631abda6835a68c25d6df886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x671f…328cbacked FlyQuest | 40c | 100,000$39,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,066.51 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 87,669$52,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,601.24 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FlyQuest | 80c | 25,624$20,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.95 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…4dd8backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 25,000$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 9,961$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.36 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 9,111$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.79 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…7adebacked Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 6,852$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 5,360$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.61 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 5,327$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.89 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 3,922$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.91 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed FlyQuest | 42c | 3,600$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 3,381$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.56 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 3,089$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FlyQuest | 54c | 3,065$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.05 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 3,030$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.38 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed FlyQuest | 47c | 3,004$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.01 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 3,000$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed FlyQuest | 43c | 2,795$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.47 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 2,438$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.72 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 2,400$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked FlyQuest | 80c | 2,247$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.32 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 1,726$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.03 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed FlyQuest | 78c | 1,680$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.08 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FlyQuest | 78c | 1,419$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.57 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 1,314$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.46 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 1,040$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed FlyQuest | 44c | 971.25$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6a…ff37backed FlyQuest | 79c | 908.77$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 847.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 719.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 670.23$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.17 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FlyQuest | 21c | 627.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.93 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 625$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FlyQuest | 43c | 596.45$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed FlyQuest | 80c | 582.18$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed FlyQuest | 45c | 546.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.53 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked FlyQuest | 79c | 539.38$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…9ec0backed FlyQuest | 67c | 507.94$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…0468backed FlyQuest | 76c | 504.67$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 135 | 69.6%94 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Shopify Rebellion | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…2d97backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 488.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 475$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 446.17$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…2afbbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 446.11$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed FlyQuest | 47c | 429.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.04 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FlyQuest | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…2c3bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 361.04$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…2feebacked FlyQuest | 60c | 335.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 332.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 329$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed FlyQuest | 77c | 322.23$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 313.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked FlyQuest | 45c | 311.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.53 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 311.03$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 301$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Shopify Rebellion | 67c | 300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked FlyQuest | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed FlyQuest | 60c | 298.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 291$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…78fbbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 286.03$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…7583backed FlyQuest | 46c | 265.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed FlyQuest | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed FlyQuest | 45c | 210.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 208$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 206.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 226 | 36.7%83 W · 143 L | -16.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…6cfabacked FlyQuest | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…3365backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 199.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FlyQuest | 75c | 198$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 193.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…56adbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 178.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked FlyQuest | 46c | 174.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 173.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 170.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 161.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 149.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Shopify Rebellion | 68c | 146.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 59.4%123 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…5067backed FlyQuest | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 133.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 129$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FlyQuest | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FlyQuest | 50c | 125$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 122$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 115.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…02d5backed FlyQuest | 44c | 114.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked FlyQuest | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…6ff2backed FlyQuest | 47c | 108.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 100.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…861abacked FlyQuest | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…eba7backed FlyQuest | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ba…efc0backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 96.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 94.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagethis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.