Lol · resolved market
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58aabdee31a8390b4222dd88dbdd551c120b68e76ebf186c1e7a74c21def5303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x234c…0fa8backed Shopify Rebellion | 0c | 17,990$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed FlyQuest | 40c | 11,859$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.61 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 10,866$6,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,514.86 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 9,834$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.6 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed FlyQuest | 43c | 5,708$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.68 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked FlyQuest | 33c | 5,234$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.97 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 51c | 4,909$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.95 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 4,108$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.17 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed FlyQuest | 64c | 3,713$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.71 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FlyQuest | 45c | 2,620$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.85 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 2,535$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.54 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked FlyQuest | 41c | 2,317$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.25 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FlyQuest | 57c | 2,282$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.48 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…477cbacked FlyQuest | 66c | 1,672$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.27 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FlyQuest | 42c | 1,590$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.38 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed FlyQuest | 43c | 1,496$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.66 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FlyQuest | 44c | 1,432$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.66 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 1,341$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.35 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed FlyQuest | 40c | 1,115$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 1,113$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.1 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,056$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Shopify Rebellion | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed FlyQuest | 30c | 900$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 900$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4316…c545backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 878.49$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…3033backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 765.86$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 650$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 640$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…7583backed Shopify Rebellion | 68c | 599.95$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed FlyQuest | 33c | 557.61$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.69 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed FlyQuest | 28c | 552$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.42 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…125ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 494.81$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed FlyQuest | 75c | 393.67$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FlyQuest | 42c | 345.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked FlyQuest | 43c | 340$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed FlyQuest | 44c | 311.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.01 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 300$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FlyQuest | 24c | 293.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.32 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FlyQuest | 33c | 277.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed FlyQuest | 44c | 250$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked FlyQuest | 27c | 240.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.05 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed FlyQuest | 36c | 238.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…0001backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 235.58$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 232.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 222.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 205.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 202.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…2d97backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 180.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 166.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…1b12backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 155.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed FlyQuest | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FlyQuest | 40c | 141.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed FlyQuest | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked FlyQuest | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…4a36backed FlyQuest | 27c | 105.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Shopify Rebellion | 67c | 102.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FlyQuest | 28c | 100.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked FlyQuest | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked FlyQuest | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 85.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…a2fbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…8fd1backed Shopify Rebellion | 74c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed FlyQuest | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed FlyQuest | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 66.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…dbf9backed FlyQuest | 45c | 65.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked FlyQuest | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…e9f2backed Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…78fbbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 51.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed FlyQuest | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed FlyQuest | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 33.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 32.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…cad0backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 28.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…19b7backed Shopify Rebellion | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Shopify Rebellion | 67c | 23.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 23.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…cf67backed FlyQuest | 46c | 22.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.