NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a6d11102da4cfb8b72fea96a06eb65a29a5f3e61857f29dc55d0c08722ae4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $565,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 513,461$251,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251,794.95 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 249,971$127,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,485.64 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 45,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,200 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 33,542$17,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,281.13 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 12,374$6,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,964.69 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 9,247$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.87 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 51c | 8,812$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.8 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 6,832$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.95 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 5,741$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Over | 50c | 5,300$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Under | 50c | 4,498$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 48c | 2,956$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 53c | 2,810$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 50c | 2,701$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.37 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 2,173$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.74 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 50c | 2,155$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.03 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 2,020$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.88 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 1,900$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,780$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.28 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 1,668$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.27 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 51c | 1,570$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.7 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 50c | 1,394$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.17 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 48c | 985$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 940$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 816.1$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.1 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 788.34$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 444$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 312.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 53c | 246.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 53c | 220.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…0103backed Under | 75c | 199.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 179.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 72c | 158$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 66c | 151.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 147$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 38c | 145.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…54d1backed Under | 51c | 145.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 41c | 126$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…d709backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 50c | 78.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 48c | 77.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under | 68c | 74.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 73.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…2077backed Under | 74c | 67.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 49c | 65.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9777backed Under | 79c | 63.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9012backed Over | 80c | 62.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 73cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…9046backed Under | 80c | 62.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 51c | 59.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Under | 20c | 58.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…c757backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 51c | 52.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 50c | 50.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 53c | 46.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…5723backed Under | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 35c | 37.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 31c | 33.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 31.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 48c | 27.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…4ea6backed Under | 63c | 23.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 50c | 22.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. CanucksOilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.