TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a58…149dbacked Under0c12,195$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.472119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c10,444$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.711,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over69c2,620$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over66c2,615$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+77.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over42c2,380$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.59333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Under30c1,783$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.811020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over54c1,687$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.85729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c1,402$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over58c1,086$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.739863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under52c1,031$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.9333938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over59c913.82$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.353557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under78c700$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5465330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x414a…597ebacked Under3c698.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under28c698.48$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9124052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under43c663.1$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2842536%9 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under32c613.84$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.146926.1%18 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d0…04d6backed Over59c608.33$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over71c599.96$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.999145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c529.92$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.361,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over61c511.91$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.912157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over60c487.25$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over22c466.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.865129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under37c399.95$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9827244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over73c352.5$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.57869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under75c298.25$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over58c296.55$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.556842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over68c294.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over68c277.64$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.671968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over71c266.76$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.363100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c225.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4359348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c205.07$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0724051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over69c202.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.91963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5812050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over65c197.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.154362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over63c191.73$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.94875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under32c188.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under32c167.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2411250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under31c164.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6226550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bb…b369backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over69c159.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over69c154$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7417043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.939262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba5…d550backed Over44c143.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Under58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c137.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0311044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…6900backed Under74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over69c134.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.782347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c129.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Under56c122.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-71.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2564…08c2backed Over69c116.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c114.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf633…03acbacked Over69c114.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Over31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.772944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over64c93.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.368856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb0…b622backed Over50c82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3915…b03ebacked Over49c78.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under36c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…084dbacked Under66c75.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over30c74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+103.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over27c71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.831833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b1…3b54backed Under51c69.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+78.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa59…ce19backed Over37c67.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under34c65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.853351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over43c64.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.932035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207227.8%20 W · 52 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa2d7…3a06backed Over67c64.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf873…f644backed Over47c61.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.87352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797a…101fbacked Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.087540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over65c47.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.539159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under35c46.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2910348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over70c43.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over68c42.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.655440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under51c40.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2818360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf256…3767backed Over63c39.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Over70c38.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.464136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over45c37.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.752236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over63c37.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.094330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over65c36.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.847755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5972…b428backed Over55c35.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.258254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0165backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over69c31.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…bc38backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over38c27.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.252937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.