TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Over52c28,453$14,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,849.321,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40029351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c7,317$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c7,017$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c6,009$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.554,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c4,245$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.663,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c2,563$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.872,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under45c2,466$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.2250347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,021$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.945,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,901$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under48c1,829$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.8542648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over2c1,745$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over58c1,427$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82740451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Over54c1,000$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53616053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Over57c880.18$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over51c742.27$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.373,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over53c679$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8729748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under48c492.31$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25612454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22014751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Over52c346.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under42c297.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2368940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.93641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under43c244.6$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c191.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.792,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over55c179.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd4…308cbacked Over55c167.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926660.6%40 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over54c142$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.689048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Over62c133.08$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5124533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over45c130$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.548146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Over76c126.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over22c116.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.671,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over49c112$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.884025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb9ca…6725backed Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Over58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.86952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c105.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.922,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under41c98.72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.211,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b2…7025backed Over74c91.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5211136%40 W · 71 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Over48c90.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.032123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Over54c84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.364645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under38c83.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.511,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c0…2893backed Over52c77.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over62c74.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.891154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under40c71.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9688845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.227047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over51c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.157353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Over51c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.588644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Over58c58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.646839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Over54c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.629360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Over54c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.623948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2843246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Under46c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.464353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Over51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.445253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Under46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.223354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Over59c42.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257959.5%47 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Under46c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.683148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b1…70e0backed Under47c41.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Under42c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.784652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Under42c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.784047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c39.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Over54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.985750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Over58c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.569050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under80c31.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3117949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over64c30.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.341556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Under49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.283540%14 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Under49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.773562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Under46c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.583946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Under42c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.662853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Over58c24.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.333262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under46c24.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.311,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under44c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7316942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Under46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.882268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Over67c19.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134369.8%30 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.