NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa66fa254737f241f731209b958d6ffd6bba239fb10d6de1a82649d5ed58c69f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 50c | 152,247$76,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,123.36 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 50c | 43,727$21,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,052.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 48c | 35,479$17,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,301.53 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers | 50c | 27,478$13,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,739 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 50c | 22,292$11,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,146 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Lakers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…f018backed Raptors | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 50c | 14,997$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,498.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Lakers | 50c | 12,400$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 50c | 11,710$5,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,855 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Lakers | 50c | 8,052$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 57c | 7,030$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Lakers | 49c | 6,070$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.66 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 49c | 5,370$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors | 51c | 4,301$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 64c | 3,495$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Lakers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Raptors | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 50c | 2,983$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.12 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 57c | 2,614$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.74 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Lakers | 42c | 2,514$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.35 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Raptors | 58c | 2,514$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Lakers | 43c | 2,302$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.14 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Raptors | 73c | 2,270$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.17 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 50c | 2,195$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Raptors | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Raptors | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Lakers | 44c | 1,990$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 42c | 1,869$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.17 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Raptors | 51c | 1,489$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.26 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Lakers | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,290$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.15 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Lakers | 42c | 945.61$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.73 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Raptors | 53c | 912.76$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.76 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Raptors | 51c | 899.7$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.85 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Lakers | 50c | 898.24$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.12 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 47c | 882.33$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 37c | 816.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Lakers | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked Raptors | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Lakers | 50c | 578.54$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.27 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Raptors | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Raptors | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Raptors | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Raptors | 51c | 391.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Raptors | 37c | 381.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Raptors | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Lakers | 46c | 273.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.91 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Raptors | 51c | 269.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Raptors | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Raptors | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers | 43c | 200.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Lakers | 50c | 200.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Raptors | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Lakers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Raptors | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 324 | 55.9%181 W · 143 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Raptors | 51c | 194.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Lakers | 42c | 178.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Raptors | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Raptors | 55c | 152$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Raptors | 56c | 150.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Raptors | 47c | 134.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…32d3backed Lakers | 73c | 125.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Raptors | 51c | 117.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Raptors | 59c | 116$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lakers | 30c | 111$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Raptors | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Lakers | 43c | 106.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers | 50c | 101.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Raptors | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…b5e8backed Raptors | 51c | 97.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Lakers | 44c | 95.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Lakers | 43c | 94.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Raptors | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Raptors | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lakers | 41c | 78.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Raptors | 60c | 78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Raptors | 51c | 75.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 44c | 72.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Raptors | 39c | 70.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 56c | 68.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Raptors | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lakers | 49c | 67.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Raptors | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Raptors | 38c | 57.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Raptors | 50c | 54.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Lakers | 50c | 53.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Raptors | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Lakers | 41c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Lakers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Raptors | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…e552backed Raptors | 51c | 49.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Raptors | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Lakers | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Lakers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Raptors | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Lakers | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. LakersLakers won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.