TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c18,405$8,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,814.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under53c16,531$8,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,69838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c13,614$7,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,286.2234654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c11,781$6,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5571,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c7,314$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,798.653,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c6,854$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.453,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Under47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.986753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over54c3,070$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65817344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over46c2,152$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under54c1,311$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.782,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over46c1,300$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over54c1,273$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.6251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.962,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c969.01$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c860.84$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.32,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under52c778$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.2426034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c575$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.251,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under57c499.91$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9616053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over47c477$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1913638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over44c414.79$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.512,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1846040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under54c374.44$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over45c359$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5540146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c312.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c257$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.652,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Over53c212.26$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.56952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under53c207$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.297441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked Over54c144.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c135.19$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.768940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.144025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over47c94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.183336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under56c94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.368852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724057.5%23 W · 17 L+6.6wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2133246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under47c82.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.533,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4392…5723backed Under54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+517.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.981,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under46c69.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7327051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Over41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.582123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under56c63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.725060%30 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under51c58.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over54c57.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under54c51.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6520456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Under58c48.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.371968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Over47c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.623246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2516852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8650351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205334%18 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over47c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.274047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.275345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.274658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over44c38.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.051,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over45c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.733441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.986157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.043545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Under47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.433647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162969%20 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Over53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.318151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Under47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.783171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.222339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Under47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.722737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Under47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.722850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under57c23.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9611555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8da3…9f2cbacked Under47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.192540%10 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Under47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.150347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under53c18.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.916942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cc…287ebacked Over54c18.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.